Adios, for a bit

Mr and Mrs Juniorprof are off, very, very early tomorrow morning to head to the festivities surrounding Mrs Juniorprof’s little sister’s wedding in Mexico. After that I think I’m at home for a grand total of 3 days until late Nov with a heavy schedule of a variety of meetings and conferences, etc.. Posting shall be sparse, I imagine. Hasta Luego!

Polls, Polls and more Polls (+/- cellphones) UPDATED

If you’re like me, you’ve been glued to the poll numbers lately. Obama has a lead in every national poll I’ve seen and he is more or less ahead in all the battleground states considered crucial to get past 270. However, as some of the pollsters are noting, the poll numbers haven’t been reflecting relatively large leads in early voter polling. There could be several reasons for this and one possible explanation is that many of the polls are based on a false premise: that calling landlines can get you a representative sample.